🛰 Optical Analysis (Sentinel-2 · 10m)
Ostrov airbase shows low activity with approximately 12 aircraft present, consistent with its known role. Runways are clear, but snow cover is widespread across the base. No indicators of unusual activity or new construction are visible.
Approximately 12 aircraft, likely Su-24M, visible on aprons and dispersal areas. Some appear to be covered in snow.
Scattered vehicles visible near hangars and support buildings.
📊 Activity Trend (9 observations)
⚠ Threat Assessment
Su-24M strike aircraft can reach Estonian airspace in under 10 minutes. Carries precision-guided munitions for strikes on infrastructure, airfields, and command nodes. Su-24MR reconnaissance variant provides pre-strike intelligence. Runway and hardened shelters support surge operations during VDV assault scenarios. Direct CAS capability for 76th VDV operations.
Site Profile
- Tier
- T1 — Direct border threat (<200km)
- Unit / Equipment
- 790th Fighter Aviation Regiment — Su-24M/M2 tactical bombers
- Branch
- Air Force (VKS)
- Military District
- Western Military District → Leningrad MD
- Distance to Estonia
- ~80 km to Estonian border
- Center
- 57.2996°N, 28.4338°E
📋 History
Soviet-era base built 1950s, continuously operational. Su-24 forward-deployed for Baltic theater since 1980s. Modernized Su-24M2 with GPS-aided navigation and improved targeting pod. Base exercises regularly coordinated with Pskov VDV.
🔍 OSINT Indicators
Sentinel-2 shows 8-12 aircraft on dispersal pads (variable). Hardened aircraft shelters visible. Activity peaks correlate with Zapad exercises and snap readiness checks. Flight tracking shows Su-24 profiles heading west toward Estonian border during exercises.